R05 — Canadian GP
Predictions Results
28 pts
| # | Question | My Pick | 2× | Pts Available | Pts Earned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Predict the podium | Norris P1 · Piastri P2 · Hamilton P3 | — | 42 | 18 |
| 02 | Teams scoring sprint points | 6 | — | 15 | 0 |
| 03 | Sprint — Sainz or Colapinto highest finisher | Sainz | ✓ | 30 | 0 |
| 04 | Pole position | Antonelli | — | 10 | 0 |
| 05 | Both Racing Bulls cars out of Q1 | No | — | 15 | 0 |
| 06 | Fastest pitstop | Ferrari | — | 10 | 0 |
| 07 | Highest finisher in Grand Prix | Ocon | — | 15 | 0 |
| 08 | Safety Car count in race | 1 | — | 20 | 0 |
| 09 | Fastest lap | Antonelli | — | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Championship leader after R05 | McLaren | — | 20 | 0 |
| TOTAL | 28 |
Notes
Pre-race decisions:
- Q3 (Sainz vs Colapinto) took the 2× multiplier over Q1 — Sainz’s Williams upgrade trajectory and Canada circuit fit gave the highest EV with the multiplier applied (30 pts × ~58% = EV 17.4); the podium question’s three-way complexity diluted per-pt return.
- Q1 excluded Antonelli deliberately — at only 5 pts per the game’s pricing, his high probability made Hamilton (18 pts) and Piastri (14 pts) better EV targets alongside Norris (10 pts).
- Q10 went McLaren as the higher-payout underdog (20 pts vs Ferrari’s 10 pts) on a ~40% probability of closing the 16-pt championship gap in a sprint weekend with Canada’s volatile conditions.
Result:
- Q1 ✓/✗ (18 pts): Hamilton was on the podium (P2) — 18 pts earned. Norris and Piastri both retired (laps 38 and 66 respectively), leaving 24 pts unclaimed. The deliberate exclusion of Antonelli cost zero; the McLaren pair cost everything.
- Q2 ✗ (0 pts): 5 teams scored sprint points (Mercedes, McLaren, Ferrari, Red Bull, Racing Bulls), not 6. Lindblad’s P8 kept Racing Bulls in; no sixth team scored.
- Q3 ✗ (0 pts): Colapinto finished P9 in the sprint, Sainz P10 — Colapinto beat him. The 2× multiplier on the losing call was the decisive miss; a correct call here adds 30 pts and the round total reaches 58.
- Q4 ✗ (0 pts): Russell took pole with 1:12.578, Antonelli P2 at 1:12.646. The Mercedes Canada upgrade arrived as anticipated, but Russell — not Antonelli — converted it.
- Q5 ✗ (0 pts): Both Racing Bulls made Q2 — Lindblad qualified P9, Lawson P12. Lindblad’s form reversed sharply from his Q1 exits at Miami and Japan.
- Q6 ✗ (0 pts): Racing Bulls won fastest pitstop, not Ferrari. Fourth consecutive miss on this question.
- Q7 ✗ (0 pts): Bearman finished P10, Ocon P14 — the Haas pairing hierarchy flipped against season averages.
- Q8 ✗ (0 pts): More than 2 SCs were deployed. Canada’s Wall of Champions delivered exactly the multi-incident chaos that made a 1 SC prediction fragile.
- Q9 ✓ (10 pts): Antonelli fastest lap on lap 68 (1:14.210) — correct and never seriously challenged.
- Q10 ✗ (0 pts): Ferrari leads after R05. Hamilton P2 and Leclerc P4 added 37 pts to Ferrari’s tally; McLaren scored just 12 (Norris and Piastri both DNF’d in the main race) and the gap widened rather than closed.