#	Question	My Pick	2×	Pts Available	Pts Earned
01	Podium	🥇 Russell 🥈 Antonelli 🥉 Hamilton	⚡	50 exact / 25 top-3	74
02	Hamilton Sprint finish	Podium	—	15	15
03	Sprint: Lindblad or Lawson	Lindblad	—	10	0
04	Pole position	Russell	—	10	0
05	GP Quali: Albon or Sainz	Albon	—	10	0
06	Fastest lap	Verstappen	—	15	0
07	Fastest pit stop	McLaren	—	10	0
08	SC/VSC first 10 laps	YES	—	10	10
09	Classified finishers	18	—	10	0
10	McLaren or Red Bull most pts	Red Bull	—	15	0
TOTAL				155	99

Notes

Pre-race decisions:

• Upgraded Q2 Hamilton from 4th–10th → Podium after R1 P4 result and Ferrari’s Shanghai pace expectation — paid off (15pts)
• Moved Q9 classified finishers to 18 from 17 — attrition was even worse than expected (<16 classified), missed either way
• Kept 2× on Q1 podium — Russell and Antonelli near-certainties, Hamilton added at 12pts for value

Result:

• Antonelli took his first GP win — P1/P2 swapped vs our pick but both Mercedes in top-3 meant partial credit
• Hamilton P3 was an exact position hit, doubling to 24pts — the Hamilton call was the key value driver
• 2× delivered 74pts from Q1, the backbone of our score
• Antonelli dominated the whole weekend — pole, sprint win, race win, fastest lap — a sign of things to come
• Q9 was brutal again: <16 classified finishers for the second race running, new regs causing heavy attrition
• Lawson beat Lindblad in the sprint (Q3 miss), Sainz beat Albon in qualifying (Q5 miss), Ferrari took fastest stop (Q7 miss)
• SC/VSC in first 10 laps correctly called YES — 10pts banked

Season running total after R2: 196 points | Avg accuracy: 25%